Our Methods

Our models are designed in close collaboration with the client's needs. 

Depending on the nature of the analysis, we gather data from a variety of sources and from surveys that we craft.  If necessary, we use specialist databases.

We rely on proven econometric and multivariate techniques for our understanding of the relationships in the data and for estimates of primary and deep parameters. 

We build upon our library of non-linear feedback system maps to custom create architecture that approximates the processes we are studying.

We use proven Monte-Carlo techniques to derive risk metrics for our forecasted variables.

Examples

  • William Strauss has partnered with Maine Energy Systems and brings FutureMetrics' library of financial and economic analysis to this exciting Maine start-up.
     
  • FutureMetrics has assisted in the financial modeling and detailed risk analysis of large wood pellet manufacturing/exporting facilities in the Maine, New Hampshire, and Vermont areas.
     
  • FutureMetrics has created and maintains an online aircraft current value, price forecasting, and risk analysis application.  Our clients include major aircraft financing firms, aircraft brokers and dealers, and a leading aviation consultant.
     
  • FutureMetrics has developed a model of oil price dynamics that links stochastic parameter inputs to a non-linear dynamic system.  Multiple simulation runs map out the array of potential future prices and other characteristics (including probable peak oil).  See the Webinar HERE (please scroll down to the Webinar by Bill Strauss)
     
  • FutureMetrics provides information on corporate pension funds including  unique analysis, custom databases, and PLAaN, an online pension plan data and analysis application.  Our clients include corporate boards, leading pension consultants, investment bankers, and hedge funds.
     

Aircraft Price Forecasting

FutureMetrics in association with Aviation Management Systems has created an analysis product for estimating the current value and the forecasted prices for more than 1500 unique aircraft.

Pension Products

FutureMetrics maintains an extensive database on corporate defined benefit plans.  Our database contains accounting data and analysis information on the 1000 largest corporate plans (currently that includes all plans with plan assets greater than about $25 million). 

Our unique investing returns estimations for corporate pension plans provide insights into the strengths and weaknesses of individual corporate pension asset investing strategies.